29 Jun · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1560
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stetsenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1495
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)