29 Jun · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1565
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mezera
DH
🇺🇦Dominik Horak
ELO 1538
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Mezera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+27
H2H16-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.