29 Jun · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1490
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1570
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H20-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)