29 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1729
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lushchyk
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1705
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+24
H2H75-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.