29 Jun · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1454
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1540
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Kheresko stays under total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H15-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)