29 Jun · 14:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1615
FormLLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Yurkov
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1403
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
🌟Kiilo rarely covers set handicap as underdog 22% (18)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
24%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H45-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-8)