29 Jun · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1433
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Klymenko
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1407
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stukalov🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.