29 Jun · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1489
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ivasiv
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1524
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H40-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.