29 Jun · 15:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1684
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pesternikov
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1590
FormWWWLL
60%
40%
🌟Pesternikov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H60-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-47)