29 Jun · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇺🇦Petr Provaznik
ELO 1510
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Soukup
MS
🇺🇦Milos Soukup
ELO 1529
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Soukup
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.