29 Jun · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PI
🇺🇦Pavlo Ishchyk
ELO 1428
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bektemirov
EB
🇺🇦Eldar Bektemirov
ELO 1512
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
🌟Ishchyk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Bektemirov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)