29 Jun · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VC
🇺🇦Vaclav Coubal
ELO 1405
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holomek
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Holomek
ELO 1462
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Holomek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+57
H2H10-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)