30 Jun · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1683
FormLLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pesternikov
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1565
FormLLLLW
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~73 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H96-86
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (96-86)