30 Jun · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1810
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fedoryshyn
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1728
FormWWWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Fedoryshyn
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H103-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (103-66)