30 Jun · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1563
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fashchevskyi
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1536
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+27
H2H11-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.