30 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1375
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Miklukha
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1407
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Miklukha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+32
H2H24-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.