30 Jun · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1421
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1462
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.