30 Jun · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1586
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Storozhenko
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1518
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Hrybeniuk stays under total as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H9-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)