30 Jun · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1551
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Potapov
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1536
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Potapov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.