30 Jun · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1563
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fashchevskyi
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1518
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H8-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)