30 Jun · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1551
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fashchevskyi
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1563
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.