30 Jun · 12:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1540
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Potapov
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1551
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Prus covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Potapov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.