30 Jun · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1551
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1586
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.