30 Jun · 09:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1565
FormLLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Bindas
OB
🇺🇦Oleh Bindas
ELO 1778
FormWWWWW
29%
71%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Bindas
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~72 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+213
H2H86-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+213)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (86-54)