30 Jun · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1540
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Prus
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1536
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.