30 Jun · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1659
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chuhai
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1728
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H72-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-24)