30 Jun · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1659
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hubenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1597
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H73-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-33)