30 Jun · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1407
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Miklukha
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1375
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Miklukha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+32
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.