30 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1421
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mukhin
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1412
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.