30 Jun · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1551
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Potapov
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1518
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Hrybeniuk stays under total as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Potapov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+33
H2H5-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.