30 Jun · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1565
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1621
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H28-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-27)