30 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1407
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Novakov
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1412
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Novakov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (16)
Fair odds · Novakov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.