30 Jun · 11:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1683
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Bindas
OB
🇺🇦Oleh Bindas
ELO 1778
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Pesternikov covers set handicap as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Bindas
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H91-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (91-52)