30 Jun · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1683
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pesternikov
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1610
FormWLWLW
58%
42%
🌟Pesternikov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H61-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-47)