30 Jun · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1516
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Prylepa
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1496
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kurylenko🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (31)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H53-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.