30 Jun · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1565
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Romaniak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1581
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Romaniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Romaniak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H17-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.