30 Jun · 11:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1565
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rak
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1618
FormWWLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H62-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-54)