30 Jun · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Levytskyi
ELO 1362
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Honcharenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1387
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H8-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.