30 Jun · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurliuk
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Levytskyi
ELO 1362
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~70 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+54
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)