30 Jun · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1510
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1540
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+30
H2H65-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.