30 Jun · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1565
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Osadchyi
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1540
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (42)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H46-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.