30 Jun · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1510
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Yakimenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1472
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Yakimenko stays under total as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Yakimenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H10-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.