30 Jun · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1472
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Martyniuk
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1538
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Martyniuk goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Martyniuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)