30 Jun · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1477
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zvolynskyi
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1387
FormWLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H36-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-19)