30 Jun · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1501
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolesnykov
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1472
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+29
H2H31-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.