30 Jun · 12:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1644
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Savoliuk
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1536
FormLLLWW
61%
39%
🌟Savoliuk stays under total as favourite 66% (35)
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H20-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-11)