30 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇺🇦Michael Hasman
ELO 1490
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hasman
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1463
FormLLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Hasman stays under total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Hasman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+27
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.