30 Jun · 08:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1463
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Rulc
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1575
FormWWWWL
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ullman🌟Ullman goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H21-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-18)