30 Jun · 10:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1644
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Savoliuk
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1613
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Lievshin goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.