30 Jun · 12:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1500
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chadima
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1493
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Chadima rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.